Tuesday, August 21, 2007
Don't Touch Jimmy!
The Fantasy Flash would like to send a special shout-out to Jim Duquette, the Vice President of Baseball Operations for the Baltimore Orioles.
Last week, I travelled home to New York City for a behind-the-scenes tour of Yankee Stadium when the O's were in town. Mr. Duquette took the time to be interviewed by the Flash, and I just wanted to thank him for adding some legitimacy to my operation.
Good look, Jim. I'm routing for you.
AA
Saturday, August 18, 2007
Funny Name, Serious Speed
The Pirates and Giants completed an unheralded trade at the deadline which sent Matt Morris to Pittsburgh in exchange for a speedy outfielder named Rajai Davis.
The trade wasn't talked about much because it was between two bad teams. We know about Morris. He's a better real player than he is in terms of fantasy baseball. He's got grit. He can get you wins, but his stat lines can kill a fantasy owner (7-8, 4.51 ERA, 1.50 WHIP this season).
Davis is an interesting player though. He doesn't have a ton of power, but after having watched him a bit more in San Francisco, it's clear that the rookie's wheels will be his biggest asset.
It seems like the centerfield job is his to lose with the Giants, after Davis had to battle with the likes of Nate McClouth and Chris Duffy (not household names) in Pittsburgh. Randy Winn and Dave Roberts are still in the Bay Area, but Davis is the youngest and most exciting of the three - especially considering that the Giants are out of it and will likely be evaluating their young talent for the rest of 2007.
Davis looks like a one-dimensional base stealer right now, with 14 SB and only 6 RBI this season. But 9 of those steals have come in the month of August, and if the Giants add any kind of offense by next season, Davis could turn out to be a high-run total guy as well as a good hitter for average (hitting .304 as of now).
So if you're desperate for speed coming down the stretch, Davis could be the answer. But next season, he might be a real sleeper if you're late in a draft without much speed on your roster.
AA
I'm Juiced ...
... that Jason Giambi is back to mashing in the Bronx. I know you may think my New York bias is the reason I recommended him in my most recent tip of the week. But really, he's a just a damn good hitter.
The guy belted a pair of long balls in Friday's win over the Tigers and he has 4 total since returning from the disabled list earlier this month. But what I've noticed about him is that his timing at the plate is amazing for someone who'd been out of action since the end of May.
Giambi has surely been flying off waiver wires in A.L. Onlyleagues since coming back, but he's proving to be a viable option in mixed leagues as well. Giambi still has a ton of power and that great batter's eye - plus, he's in the middle of a Yankee lineup that has been almost unstoppable since the All-Star break.
He may not play every day, but four starts in a week for Jason Giambi can easily be as good as 6 or 7 for someone else you might plug into.
Long story short: If he's available in your league, he shouldn't be.
AA
Wednesday, August 8, 2007
Oh Good ...
Yeah so my boy Wang ... 2.2 IP, 9 hits and a career-high 8 runs allowed in Toronto tonight. Out of my frustration for making me look bad right after singing his praises, I'm posting a pitcure that paints him in somewhat of a bad light. This hurts me more than it hurts you, Chien-Ming!
Pretty unsettling.
AA
Pretty unsettling.
AA
You Gotta Love Wang (pause)
I'll tell you what: Chien-Ming Wang is a pretty darn good pitcher. This guy just wracks up wins.
From a purely fantasy perspective, the problem with the 27-year-old righty is that he doesn't strike a lot of guys out. Heading into tonight's start against Roy Halladay and the Blue Jays, Wang has only 64 K's in nearly 137 innings pitched. But remember, strikeouts are only one category, so if you have a staff that can accumulate strikeouts elsewhere, Wang is the perfect compliment because he's a lock for 15-20 wins, a good ERA and a low WHIP. In fact, his current numbers (13-5, 3.49 ERA, 1.24 WHIP) would look a lot better if it wasn't for a pair of below-average starts against the Orioles.
Wang throws a very good sinker along with a slider and change-up. But his fastball, which I think is pretty underrated, hits the mid-90s often. He' just a consistent pitcher who commands the strike zone, and doesn't give up walks and homeruns.
Further, he uses that great sinker - and it is GREAT - to produce the all-important double play (He's among the league leaders with 21 GDP this season). Wang's efficiency often allows him to maintain a low pitch count and go deep into games, which makes him even more valuable if you have any kind of innings pitched incentive in your leagues.
So in closing, I advise you to keep a close on Chien-Ming Wang in the coming seasons. He strikes me as one of these guys who will go under the radar because he's not a high-profile power pitcher like a Johan Santana, a Roy Oswalt, or even an Erik Bedard, who has been amazing this season. Wang may not be in that category quite yet, but he will always be surrounded by a good offense in New York and his arm is more apt to stay healthy with that relaxed motion, which always seems to extend a pitcher's shelf-life, a la Pedro Martinez and Mariano Rivera.
This guy will be a regular in Cy Young races and a fantasy baseball staple for years to come. Hopefully he beats Halladay tonight. That'll make me look good.
AA
From a purely fantasy perspective, the problem with the 27-year-old righty is that he doesn't strike a lot of guys out. Heading into tonight's start against Roy Halladay and the Blue Jays, Wang has only 64 K's in nearly 137 innings pitched. But remember, strikeouts are only one category, so if you have a staff that can accumulate strikeouts elsewhere, Wang is the perfect compliment because he's a lock for 15-20 wins, a good ERA and a low WHIP. In fact, his current numbers (13-5, 3.49 ERA, 1.24 WHIP) would look a lot better if it wasn't for a pair of below-average starts against the Orioles.
Wang throws a very good sinker along with a slider and change-up. But his fastball, which I think is pretty underrated, hits the mid-90s often. He' just a consistent pitcher who commands the strike zone, and doesn't give up walks and homeruns.
Further, he uses that great sinker - and it is GREAT - to produce the all-important double play (He's among the league leaders with 21 GDP this season). Wang's efficiency often allows him to maintain a low pitch count and go deep into games, which makes him even more valuable if you have any kind of innings pitched incentive in your leagues.
So in closing, I advise you to keep a close on Chien-Ming Wang in the coming seasons. He strikes me as one of these guys who will go under the radar because he's not a high-profile power pitcher like a Johan Santana, a Roy Oswalt, or even an Erik Bedard, who has been amazing this season. Wang may not be in that category quite yet, but he will always be surrounded by a good offense in New York and his arm is more apt to stay healthy with that relaxed motion, which always seems to extend a pitcher's shelf-life, a la Pedro Martinez and Mariano Rivera.
This guy will be a regular in Cy Young races and a fantasy baseball staple for years to come. Hopefully he beats Halladay tonight. That'll make me look good.
AA
Thursday, July 19, 2007
D-Train Derailed
What is going on with Dontrelle Willis? This is a question I've been trying to answer for over two months. After a 5-1 start in April, Willis has dropped 8 of his 10 decisions since and just can't seem to get it together. Something I've noticed in the last two seasons is that teams who draft Dontrelle in fantasy, which I did twice this season, don't do particularly well.
I would have no problem with my real team acquiring the D-Train. Let's not forget that he won 22 games in 2005 and could have won the Cy Young Award. But since then, Willis has not regained that form and fantasy owners have felt his struggles. The ERA (5.13) and the WHIP (1.65) leave much to be desired this season, even though the Marlins are not particularly good.
Anyway, the point is this: If you can't unload him this season, just be aware of who his starts are against for the rest of 2007. Don't be afraid to bench him if you don't feel comfortable about the opponent. When he gets pounded in back-to-back starts against the Nationals and Cardinals, it's hard to find any more favorable match-ups for him. He's better than he's shown, but be very cautious when trying to place a fantasy value on him in the future.
AA
PS I used his mugshot as a show of frustration. Is that wrong?
I would have no problem with my real team acquiring the D-Train. Let's not forget that he won 22 games in 2005 and could have won the Cy Young Award. But since then, Willis has not regained that form and fantasy owners have felt his struggles. The ERA (5.13) and the WHIP (1.65) leave much to be desired this season, even though the Marlins are not particularly good.
Anyway, the point is this: If you can't unload him this season, just be aware of who his starts are against for the rest of 2007. Don't be afraid to bench him if you don't feel comfortable about the opponent. When he gets pounded in back-to-back starts against the Nationals and Cardinals, it's hard to find any more favorable match-ups for him. He's better than he's shown, but be very cautious when trying to place a fantasy value on him in the future.
AA
PS I used his mugshot as a show of frustration. Is that wrong?
Wednesday, July 18, 2007
Encouraging Signs
After many months of waiting, Brad Lidge finally got back in the save column. He faced four batters while pitching a scoreless inning for the second straight night on Tuesday. And since the Astros were actually ahead on the road in the 9th inning, Lidge got a chance to close it out.
The upsetting thing is that Lidge has been the subject of many trade rumors, though the Astros are now indicating they want to keep him. Of course, his value will plummet if he's dealt with the purpose of making him a middle reliever. But if he stays put and stays healthy, Lidge should provide fantasy owners with solid stats over the next two months.
I know the Astros stink, and they just lost a series in Washington, but they should improve somewhat down the stretch. Milwaukee is finally coming back to Earth, and Houston will be playing other teams in baseball's worst division for the rest of the summer. The Cubs should win the N.L. Central barring major injury.
Elsewhere, a couple of guys who had dreadful first halves are starting to show signs of coming out of it in July. Barry Zito beat the red-hot Cubs Tuesday night and Jermaine Dye is swinging a good bat despite the White Sox being a non-factor in the A.L. Central. Luckily I dropped Zito in one of my leagues just before his last start so I missed out. He's been bad overall, but his durability and the fact that he's now in the N.L. make him at least a viable second-string starter in fantasy. With Dye, the fact that Paul Konerko has been mashing as well makes a big difference, but it also just makes you wonder what was going beforehand (maybe the picture can provide a clue).
If you're in 10-team leagues, it's possible that one or both of these guys could be available. And if you're leagues without trade deadlines or with ones that haven't passed yet, then they're likely available in small deals. Don't give up too much though.
AA
The upsetting thing is that Lidge has been the subject of many trade rumors, though the Astros are now indicating they want to keep him. Of course, his value will plummet if he's dealt with the purpose of making him a middle reliever. But if he stays put and stays healthy, Lidge should provide fantasy owners with solid stats over the next two months.
I know the Astros stink, and they just lost a series in Washington, but they should improve somewhat down the stretch. Milwaukee is finally coming back to Earth, and Houston will be playing other teams in baseball's worst division for the rest of the summer. The Cubs should win the N.L. Central barring major injury.
Elsewhere, a couple of guys who had dreadful first halves are starting to show signs of coming out of it in July. Barry Zito beat the red-hot Cubs Tuesday night and Jermaine Dye is swinging a good bat despite the White Sox being a non-factor in the A.L. Central. Luckily I dropped Zito in one of my leagues just before his last start so I missed out. He's been bad overall, but his durability and the fact that he's now in the N.L. make him at least a viable second-string starter in fantasy. With Dye, the fact that Paul Konerko has been mashing as well makes a big difference, but it also just makes you wonder what was going beforehand (maybe the picture can provide a clue).
If you're in 10-team leagues, it's possible that one or both of these guys could be available. And if you're leagues without trade deadlines or with ones that haven't passed yet, then they're likely available in small deals. Don't give up too much though.
AA
Sunday, July 15, 2007
Frustration Abounds!
At this point in the season, standard rotisserie leagues are difficult to make up ground in. When you look at the standings and see where you're struggling, it's getting to the point where you have to decide whether you can make up significant ground in certain categories, or whether you should just punt certain one or two altogether - meaning to focus only on the stats where you can make up ground.
In head-to-head leagues, there's still time for most to recover ground. What kills me personally is that in my own head-to-head league, the two commissioners decreed that everyone bench their squads for the All-Star-shortened week. Consequently, my team is having the best 4 days of all time. Oh good, Miguel Cabrera homered again. That's 2 today.
AA
PS Howie Kendrick to the DL. He hasn't had the year I hoped for.
In head-to-head leagues, there's still time for most to recover ground. What kills me personally is that in my own head-to-head league, the two commissioners decreed that everyone bench their squads for the All-Star-shortened week. Consequently, my team is having the best 4 days of all time. Oh good, Miguel Cabrera homered again. That's 2 today.
AA
PS Howie Kendrick to the DL. He hasn't had the year I hoped for.
A Thousand Apologies
My friends and readers - there's no excuse for 2+ weeks of inactivity. It will not happen again. I guess my All-Star break lasted a little too long. Anyway, we have a big second half ahead. Many moves are still to be made, and nearly every league is still up for grabs. So as my dear friend and former broadcast partner, Eric Gladstein, says: STAY ACTIVE. Maybe I should take that advice when it comes to this blog.
AA
AA
Wednesday, June 27, 2007
Finally ...
I have good news for L.A. Dodger fans as well as any fantasy owners looking for some pop.
James Loney has been inserted into the regular starting lineup with Nomar Garciaparra being moved across the diamond to third. It's unclear how the latter move will play out, but the 23-year-old Loney has broken out in the month of June with his sudden abundance of at-bats in L.A.
At the time of this post, the Dodgers are back in first place in the N.L. West, thanks in large part to Loney's 3-hit hit night in Arizona. After spending the season' first two months with Triple-A Las Vegas (where he hit .380 last season) , Loney is back with the big club and picking up where he left off last season.
In 2006, the lefty hit .284 with 4 homers and 18 RBIs in 48 games. He also set a National League rookie record and tied the Dodgers' franchise record with a career-high 9 RBI against the Rockies last September. Loney is batting .471 in 2007 as he looks to stick with Grady Little's club. He's put together a 5-game hit streak, which includes four multi-hit efforts, three doubles, two triples and a pair of long-balls ... Not bad.
Anyway, while I'm sure many fans wondered aloud why this opportunity took so long for James Loney (including my dear friend and lifelong Dodger fan dating back to the team's Brooklyn days, Stanley Kaplan), the fact is: He's up now ... so don't sleep and go get him.
AA
Tuesday, June 26, 2007
BANE
It was a very frustrating weekend for me in my head-to-head fantasy league, the Shlub Scrumptious league. In a rematch from Week 1 (when I won 7-2-1, thanks in part to some rain delays), my team went up against perhaps the deepest offensive team in the league - with names like Sizemore, Ordoñez and Ortiz.
My squad of Alfonso Soriano, Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez were great. On Sunday, the last day of the fantasy week, my boys forged ahead of Danny Andrews' team, The Dazzlin Dasherss (the kid adds extra letters to certain words - I'm not sure why). My team held slim leads in homers and total bases (in place of batting average), and trailed by a couple of RBI. I was really feeling another victory over Danny, who is the bane of my fantasy baseball existence.
So what happened? Well, Corey Hart of the Brewers hit his 3rd homerun of the week to tie his game in the 9th inning. Then Brian Roberts hit his second homerun of the weekend in Arizona (he has 4 total on the season) to put me one homer and couple bases back ...
How 'bout some insult for your injury? Jason Varitek, who'd already tripled in Boston's finale in San Diego, added a solo homerun just to stick the knife in a little deeper, and putting it out of reach. I lost 6-4 overall, dropping homers 14-12 and total bases 141-136. I mean that sucked.
Things like this tend to happen in both fantasy baseball and fantasy football leagues. Narrow losses eat away at everybody, so don't feel bad. There's always this week.
AA
My squad of Alfonso Soriano, Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez were great. On Sunday, the last day of the fantasy week, my boys forged ahead of Danny Andrews' team, The Dazzlin Dasherss (the kid adds extra letters to certain words - I'm not sure why). My team held slim leads in homers and total bases (in place of batting average), and trailed by a couple of RBI. I was really feeling another victory over Danny, who is the bane of my fantasy baseball existence.
So what happened? Well, Corey Hart of the Brewers hit his 3rd homerun of the week to tie his game in the 9th inning. Then Brian Roberts hit his second homerun of the weekend in Arizona (he has 4 total on the season) to put me one homer and couple bases back ...
How 'bout some insult for your injury? Jason Varitek, who'd already tripled in Boston's finale in San Diego, added a solo homerun just to stick the knife in a little deeper, and putting it out of reach. I lost 6-4 overall, dropping homers 14-12 and total bases 141-136. I mean that sucked.
Things like this tend to happen in both fantasy baseball and fantasy football leagues. Narrow losses eat away at everybody, so don't feel bad. There's always this week.
AA
Sunday, June 24, 2007
SECOND HALF SPECIAL!
What's up everyone ... Haven't posted in a minute because I was visiting my old stomping grounds in NYC. But now I'm back to help people prepare for their second-half drafts and also to help re-tool some squads for the majority of owners in "full-season mode."
Preparing for a New Draft:
I like to call the second-half draft a fantasy owner's mulligan. So much has changed between the start of the season and now, and there are some tough questions to ponder if you're looking you start up a new team. With all the information we now have, the first three rounds will look a lot different than they did in March.
One key to success will be getting players with you're second and third round picks that were definite first-rounders in the preseason. Of course, you'll also have to avoid overrating the guys who look like first-rounders now but who'd never have been picked there a few months ago.
A perfect example of this is Magglio Ordoñez. He's had great years before but now he's leading the Majors in hitting and looking like an M.V.P. front-runner. But is he worthy of a first round pick? I don't think so ... Go ahead and take a shot if he's there in the second round. He is a great player - I just worry about his past injuries resurfacing.
Matt Holliday is also making a case for garnering a first round selection. He was a great third round pick to begin with - maybe even a good second rounder. He's turned into a Top 10 player in many mixed leagues (I'd draft Holliday ahead of Ordoñez).
Here's the point: Breakout seasons from the above two guys and others like Prince Fielder may push some established superstars like Ryan Howard, David Ortiz and dare I say - Johan Santana out of the first round ... and you need to be ready to pounce if any of those guys falls to you in the second round.
You have to take advantage of the people using only the first half of 2007 as a guide to the second half. You must use the big picture to see that some guys who've had disappointing first halves like Howard and Big Papí (still pretty good) - and to a far greater extent Garrett Atkins - will lose some value early in drafts and therefore become far more valuable to you when you pick them up in the second round (or a bit later in Atkins' case).
On the mound, I have a feeeling that a few folks out there may get courageous and make Jake Peavy or Cole Hamels the first pitcher off the board. If this happens, consider yourself very fortunate and take Johan Santana if he somehow falls to you. It won't happen often, but all you need to know about the great lefty is this: since 2004, he's *****32-3 after the All-Star break***** ... 'Nuff said.
Mid-Season Evaluations:
For those fantasy owners trudging along through the full MLB season, the actual midpoint (meaning 81 games into it) is a crucial stage as you try to gain ground or solidify a spot at or near the top of your league. If you have some pieces to part with, I almost always advocate chasing a big star who's been strugging, but a couple of these big names are already starting to come around - except for Andruw Jones (what is going on there?).
I think the guy to really go after is Carlos Beltrán. He's starting to come out of his funk and not coincidentally, the Mets are too. Roy Oswalt hasn't thrilled his fantasy owners either this season, but keep your ears to the ground on this guy. If you hear that someone in your league is disenchanted with Oswalt, it's definitely worth making an offer for him. Forget the bullpen struggles in Houston, this guy is a lot better than he's shown and his value probably won't get any lower (7-5, 3.55 ERA, 1.38 WHIP right now).
In closing, I encourage all my fellow owners to just stay with it and know that there is still time to recover if your struggling and there's always room for improvement - even if you're in first place. Tonight I will share my views with the world once again on Beltway Baseball, inside the 10 PM edition of SportsNite on Comcast SportsNet (Ch. 628 on your DirecTV, Ch. 45 if you have local cable in Montgomery County or something else if live someplace else). Hopefully I'll get to talk to Kelli Johnson again.
AA
Preparing for a New Draft:
I like to call the second-half draft a fantasy owner's mulligan. So much has changed between the start of the season and now, and there are some tough questions to ponder if you're looking you start up a new team. With all the information we now have, the first three rounds will look a lot different than they did in March.
One key to success will be getting players with you're second and third round picks that were definite first-rounders in the preseason. Of course, you'll also have to avoid overrating the guys who look like first-rounders now but who'd never have been picked there a few months ago.
A perfect example of this is Magglio Ordoñez. He's had great years before but now he's leading the Majors in hitting and looking like an M.V.P. front-runner. But is he worthy of a first round pick? I don't think so ... Go ahead and take a shot if he's there in the second round. He is a great player - I just worry about his past injuries resurfacing.
Matt Holliday is also making a case for garnering a first round selection. He was a great third round pick to begin with - maybe even a good second rounder. He's turned into a Top 10 player in many mixed leagues (I'd draft Holliday ahead of Ordoñez).
Here's the point: Breakout seasons from the above two guys and others like Prince Fielder may push some established superstars like Ryan Howard, David Ortiz and dare I say - Johan Santana out of the first round ... and you need to be ready to pounce if any of those guys falls to you in the second round.
You have to take advantage of the people using only the first half of 2007 as a guide to the second half. You must use the big picture to see that some guys who've had disappointing first halves like Howard and Big Papí (still pretty good) - and to a far greater extent Garrett Atkins - will lose some value early in drafts and therefore become far more valuable to you when you pick them up in the second round (or a bit later in Atkins' case).
On the mound, I have a feeeling that a few folks out there may get courageous and make Jake Peavy or Cole Hamels the first pitcher off the board. If this happens, consider yourself very fortunate and take Johan Santana if he somehow falls to you. It won't happen often, but all you need to know about the great lefty is this: since 2004, he's *****32-3 after the All-Star break***** ... 'Nuff said.
Mid-Season Evaluations:
For those fantasy owners trudging along through the full MLB season, the actual midpoint (meaning 81 games into it) is a crucial stage as you try to gain ground or solidify a spot at or near the top of your league. If you have some pieces to part with, I almost always advocate chasing a big star who's been strugging, but a couple of these big names are already starting to come around - except for Andruw Jones (what is going on there?).
I think the guy to really go after is Carlos Beltrán. He's starting to come out of his funk and not coincidentally, the Mets are too. Roy Oswalt hasn't thrilled his fantasy owners either this season, but keep your ears to the ground on this guy. If you hear that someone in your league is disenchanted with Oswalt, it's definitely worth making an offer for him. Forget the bullpen struggles in Houston, this guy is a lot better than he's shown and his value probably won't get any lower (7-5, 3.55 ERA, 1.38 WHIP right now).
In closing, I encourage all my fellow owners to just stay with it and know that there is still time to recover if your struggling and there's always room for improvement - even if you're in first place. Tonight I will share my views with the world once again on Beltway Baseball, inside the 10 PM edition of SportsNite on Comcast SportsNet (Ch. 628 on your DirecTV, Ch. 45 if you have local cable in Montgomery County or something else if live someplace else). Hopefully I'll get to talk to Kelli Johnson again.
AA
Saturday, June 23, 2007
Saturday, June 16, 2007
Is This Guy Serious?
I don't often praise members of the Boston Red Sox outside of Manny and Ortiz, though Kevin Youkilis has come on strong this season as well.
But this post is all about DUSTIN PEDROIA, a little man with a big bat! I've been debating about whether to dedicate a whole post to him, but a 5-for-5 effort against the Giants on Friday sealed the deal. Pedroia could keep putting up big numbers if he continues to bat in front of one of the great run-producing duos of all-time in Manny and Ortiz. Plus he's got that Green Monster out in left field - where high fly balls become homers.
Anyway, the comparison I've been hearing out of Bean-town is to Jody Reed. Admittedly, it sounds funny to call someone 'the next Jody Reed,' but then I remembered that Reed used to eat up the Yankees in the late 80's and early 90's. These days Pedroia is really starting to swing the stick well, and though he doesn't boast a lot of power, his spot in the order makes him look like a good source of runs and average for years to come. I'm just glad the Red Sox don't still have Hanley Ramirez to go along with him.
AA
Friday, June 15, 2007
Prospects to Big Leaguers
I have to give a big shout out to my man Mitch Tischler for this one. Justin Germano of the Padres is coming into his own at baseball's highest level. He's been working his way through the minors since 2000, before appearing briefly in the Majors in 2004 and 2006. His 7 starts this season are already a career-high. He allowed two runs or less in each of his first 4 starts, got beat up in two straight, then pitched 6 shutout innings against the Devil Rays last night. That may not be the world's greatest accomplishment but hey, he's 5-0.
Most of the glory on the mound in San Diego goes to Jake Peavy and Trevor Hoffman, which is fair. But fantasy owners shouldn't forget about a very valuable and underrated pitcher in Chris Young- a great ERA and strikeout guy. Even Greg Maddux is still holding it down in a lot of mixed leagues.
However, Justin Germano is dangling out there in a lot of mixed leagues, and if you need an option at the back of your rotation, this guy looks like a steal. I always lean toward the N.L. pitchers anyway.
Elsewhere in prospect-land, Matt Kemp is back up with the Big Club in Los Angeles (I'm talking about the real LA, where the Dodgers play - not the imaginary one in which the Angels play). Anyway, this guy was actually a factor last June when he belted all 7 of his career homers.
That seemed like a random power surge, but Kemp is putting together another good month of June this season. He can also steal some bases and could see more action if Grady Little doesn't find an excuse not to play him.
AA
Wednesday, June 13, 2007
Falling off a Lidge
Well, the Brad Lidge experiment got off to a terrible start last night in Houston. The Astros' hard-throwing righty surrendered a game-tying homerun to Oakland's Mark Kotsay leading off the 9th inning, as he sought his first save of the season. The Astros later won the game, but I know Lidge's BS (blown save) is certainly upsetting to those owners who plugged him back in upon hearing about his return to the closer's role (I picked him up just in time to insert him into one of my lineups).
But don't worry - I'm not going back on my promise to aid my fellow owners in the saves category. Give Lidge a chance to get reacquainted with the 9th inning before you dump him. Elsewhere in closer news, it looks like Huston Street won't be back by the All-Star break as the A's had hoped. That means Alan Embree will be assured of more time at closer - at least until the A's make a move. Who knows? Maybe the A's will trade for Brad Lidge (as long as Billy Beane doesn't have to pay him).
AA
Tuesday, June 12, 2007
Leanin' on Lidge
Steals and Saves ...
These are perhaps the two most frustrating categories in fantasy baseball ... at least for me. In the Comcast SportsNet fantasy league (one of the three I belong to), I drafted Carl Crawford, Jimmy Rollins and Bobby Abreu with 3 of my first 4 picks. I took Lance Berkman second ... so it's been a rough go. Anyway, drafting for speed early cost me in the power stats later on.
Not too long after, I took Mariano Rivera, who got off to rough start this season. His rough start contributed to a dreadful start for my pitching staff. I've yet to recover.
Thankfully I've managed to hold my own in two other leagues, but bringing up the rear in my office league is a downright embarassment. So as you look ahead to potential mid-season drafts and/or eye future transactions, I'd recommend being reserved when chasing down steals and saves. Of course, you can still go after a Jose Reyes or Grady Sizemore, but often guys with high stolen base totals are just too one-dimensional to invest a lot in. Guys like Julio Lugo and Chone Figgins can swipe a ton of bags, but kill you in power and average, etc ...
In terms of saves, the closer position is one that's coveted but also risky. B.J. Ryan is done for the season, Salomon Torres has lost his spot with the Pirates in favor of Matt Capps (and is now on the DL as well), while the revolving door in Houston has brought Brad Lidge back into his original role. Add to that the struggles of guys like Chris Ray and the injury risks of guys like Eric Gagne, and it's easy to see how finding a consistent source of saves can be a fickle business.
Well, I've been all over the waiver wires in my leagues, and I hope these guys can help you out if you're in need of a quick fix:
STEALS
Reggie Willits
.311 AVG, 30 R, 15 SB
A nice little player. He's starting to get noticed and is proving to be asset - even in deeper mixed leagues. Unfortunately, Garret Anderson's return to the Angels' lineup with cost Willits some at-bats
Nick Punto
.230 AVG, 24 R, 12 SB
The average is ugly, but at least he's part of a good offense, he walks a decent amount, and he's eligible for 3 infield positions. Utility players can be very valuable, though Punto may be a better option in A.L. Only leagues
SAVES
Antonio Alfonseca
3-1, 5 Saves, 3.62 ERA. 1.46 WHIP
Six fingers on each hand, six toes on each foot and 5 saves in 6 chances this season. What else could you ask for? He's at least got the job until Brett Myers returns, or until the Phillies can confirm that Tom Gordon is still alive.
PS I know the picture of Alfonseca is an old one, but I wanted you to see his extra appendage
Alan Embree
0-0, 7 Saves, 3.18 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
Embree is on his 9th different team since coming up since 1992. His 7 saves are already a career-high. You never know about Huston Street's long-term health, so Embree could be a viable option for a while.
Brad Lidge
2-1, 0 Saves, 2.35 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Phil Garner will finally go back to Lidge in the 9th inning of ballgames. Hopefully he doesn't run into Albert Pujols in the near future. I figured the righty would have been dealt by now, but the Astros have re-discovered their faith in him. And if Lidge saves a couple of games right out of the gates, you will too.
*Stats through June 11th
AA
Not too long after, I took Mariano Rivera, who got off to rough start this season. His rough start contributed to a dreadful start for my pitching staff. I've yet to recover.
Thankfully I've managed to hold my own in two other leagues, but bringing up the rear in my office league is a downright embarassment. So as you look ahead to potential mid-season drafts and/or eye future transactions, I'd recommend being reserved when chasing down steals and saves. Of course, you can still go after a Jose Reyes or Grady Sizemore, but often guys with high stolen base totals are just too one-dimensional to invest a lot in. Guys like Julio Lugo and Chone Figgins can swipe a ton of bags, but kill you in power and average, etc ...
In terms of saves, the closer position is one that's coveted but also risky. B.J. Ryan is done for the season, Salomon Torres has lost his spot with the Pirates in favor of Matt Capps (and is now on the DL as well), while the revolving door in Houston has brought Brad Lidge back into his original role. Add to that the struggles of guys like Chris Ray and the injury risks of guys like Eric Gagne, and it's easy to see how finding a consistent source of saves can be a fickle business.
Well, I've been all over the waiver wires in my leagues, and I hope these guys can help you out if you're in need of a quick fix:
STEALS
Reggie Willits
.311 AVG, 30 R, 15 SB
A nice little player. He's starting to get noticed and is proving to be asset - even in deeper mixed leagues. Unfortunately, Garret Anderson's return to the Angels' lineup with cost Willits some at-bats
Nick Punto
.230 AVG, 24 R, 12 SB
The average is ugly, but at least he's part of a good offense, he walks a decent amount, and he's eligible for 3 infield positions. Utility players can be very valuable, though Punto may be a better option in A.L. Only leagues
SAVES
Antonio Alfonseca
3-1, 5 Saves, 3.62 ERA. 1.46 WHIP
Six fingers on each hand, six toes on each foot and 5 saves in 6 chances this season. What else could you ask for? He's at least got the job until Brett Myers returns, or until the Phillies can confirm that Tom Gordon is still alive.
PS I know the picture of Alfonseca is an old one, but I wanted you to see his extra appendage
Alan Embree
0-0, 7 Saves, 3.18 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
Embree is on his 9th different team since coming up since 1992. His 7 saves are already a career-high. You never know about Huston Street's long-term health, so Embree could be a viable option for a while.
Brad Lidge
2-1, 0 Saves, 2.35 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Phil Garner will finally go back to Lidge in the 9th inning of ballgames. Hopefully he doesn't run into Albert Pujols in the near future. I figured the righty would have been dealt by now, but the Astros have re-discovered their faith in him. And if Lidge saves a couple of games right out of the gates, you will too.
*Stats through June 11th
AA
Sunday, June 10, 2007
Saturday, June 9, 2007
Interleague Play in Fantasy Baseball
One of my general philosophies in drafting and trading throughout the fantasy baseball season is to target A.L. Hitters and N.L. Pitchers.
Clearly, this is not something I adhere to all the time (for example, I just traded a lot for Alfonso Soriano in two different leagues, though he did homer three times last night - which is great). But in general, the DH in the American League adds value its offensive players while the lack of a DH in the National League makes its pitchers more valuable in the long run.
At the time of this post, 7 of the top 9 run scoring teams in baseball are in the A.L., while 7 of the 10 best pitching staffs (in terms of team ERA) play in the N.L. (Oakland is 2nd because Dan Haren is a stone-cold beast).
Anyway, my point is that with Interleague play now in effect, the average A.L. hitters on your team(s) will now run into some better pitching, while your average N.L. pitchers will suddenly be forced to deal with the DH and somewhat deeper offensive teams.
Of course, I'm not suggesting you bench your best players because of interleague play. It doesn't matter who's pitching to Vlad Guerrero (he still rakes in Interlague play anyway), or which team Brandon Webb is throwing against. The great players are going to get their numbers regardless.
But look at a guy like Doug Davis of the Diamondbacks. He's a decent pitcher with an ERA under four, and he's a relatively safe bet against teams like the Giants and Padres. But last night, he got roughed up by the Red Sox because they can actually hit.
So over the next two weeks, just be cognizant of your pitching match-ups and don't be afraid to bench a middle-of-the-road N.L. starter against a good A.L. offense, while a mediocre A.L. could have some success against a light-hitting N.L. squad.
For your viewing pleasure, here are some guys that have historically done well in interleague play ... hopefully some of them are available in your leagues and can serve as nice stop-gap players.
AA
PS These stats are through 2006 ...
LONG GONE
Mike Young - .347 AVG.
Derek Jeter - 227 hits
Jim Thome - 52 HR
Randy Johnson - 15 Wins
Johan Santana - 2.40 ERA
Mariano Rivera - 49 Saves
AVAILABLE?
Mark Loretta - .339 AVG.
Craig Biggio - 180 hits
Garret Anderson - 111 RBI
Freddy Garcia - 19 wins, 2.34 ERA
Livan Hernandez - 17 wins
Jamie Moyer - 16 wins, 2.54 ERA
Clearly, this is not something I adhere to all the time (for example, I just traded a lot for Alfonso Soriano in two different leagues, though he did homer three times last night - which is great). But in general, the DH in the American League adds value its offensive players while the lack of a DH in the National League makes its pitchers more valuable in the long run.
At the time of this post, 7 of the top 9 run scoring teams in baseball are in the A.L., while 7 of the 10 best pitching staffs (in terms of team ERA) play in the N.L. (Oakland is 2nd because Dan Haren is a stone-cold beast).
Anyway, my point is that with Interleague play now in effect, the average A.L. hitters on your team(s) will now run into some better pitching, while your average N.L. pitchers will suddenly be forced to deal with the DH and somewhat deeper offensive teams.
Of course, I'm not suggesting you bench your best players because of interleague play. It doesn't matter who's pitching to Vlad Guerrero (he still rakes in Interlague play anyway), or which team Brandon Webb is throwing against. The great players are going to get their numbers regardless.
But look at a guy like Doug Davis of the Diamondbacks. He's a decent pitcher with an ERA under four, and he's a relatively safe bet against teams like the Giants and Padres. But last night, he got roughed up by the Red Sox because they can actually hit.
So over the next two weeks, just be cognizant of your pitching match-ups and don't be afraid to bench a middle-of-the-road N.L. starter against a good A.L. offense, while a mediocre A.L. could have some success against a light-hitting N.L. squad.
For your viewing pleasure, here are some guys that have historically done well in interleague play ... hopefully some of them are available in your leagues and can serve as nice stop-gap players.
AA
PS These stats are through 2006 ...
LONG GONE
Mike Young - .347 AVG.
Derek Jeter - 227 hits
Jim Thome - 52 HR
Randy Johnson - 15 Wins
Johan Santana - 2.40 ERA
Mariano Rivera - 49 Saves
AVAILABLE?
Mark Loretta - .339 AVG.
Craig Biggio - 180 hits
Garret Anderson - 111 RBI
Freddy Garcia - 19 wins, 2.34 ERA
Livan Hernandez - 17 wins
Jamie Moyer - 16 wins, 2.54 ERA
Friday, June 8, 2007
That's What I Call a Jinx!
The Dave Letourneau Special
Dave Letourneau is an outstanding videographer for Comcast SportsNet. Much to my chagrin, he's also an Angels' fan.
But his west coast bias is not without an upside, as he tells me I should spread the word about Casey Kotchman. Kotchman plays first base in Anaheim, even though his team calls itself the "Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim," which I'm still trying to figure out.
Anyway, I looked into it and it turns out Kotchman is having a very nice season for the Halos. Coming into today (June 8th), he boasts a .315 average, with 7 homers and 30 RBI.
I belong to three different fantasy leagues, two of which have 12 teams and one of which has 11. Kotchman is available in two of the three leagues. That's pretty good.
Kotchman may be even more attractive if you you're in specialty league, such as an A.L. Only fantasy league, or one in which stats like OBP and OPS are counted.
One thing you should be aware of is that Kotchman was diagnosed with mononucleosis during spring training, which likely attributed to his slow start in 2007. But as long you keep at an arm's length, you should be fine.
AA
But his west coast bias is not without an upside, as he tells me I should spread the word about Casey Kotchman. Kotchman plays first base in Anaheim, even though his team calls itself the "Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim," which I'm still trying to figure out.
Anyway, I looked into it and it turns out Kotchman is having a very nice season for the Halos. Coming into today (June 8th), he boasts a .315 average, with 7 homers and 30 RBI.
I belong to three different fantasy leagues, two of which have 12 teams and one of which has 11. Kotchman is available in two of the three leagues. That's pretty good.
Kotchman may be even more attractive if you you're in specialty league, such as an A.L. Only fantasy league, or one in which stats like OBP and OPS are counted.
One thing you should be aware of is that Kotchman was diagnosed with mononucleosis during spring training, which likely attributed to his slow start in 2007. But as long you keep at an arm's length, you should be fine.
AA
Call Me Crazy ...
This may sound like a stretch, but if you're in need of an outfielder in your fantasy league, and you're finding the waiver wire a little thin, take a look at Melky Cabrera.
I know what you're thinking: 'Wait, Melky Cabrera? Isn't he a fourth outfielder for the Yankees? Why the hell would I want a guy who doesn't play every day?'
With Jason Giambi's heel injury and/or pending suspension and Johnny Damon's lingering leg problems, Yankee manager Joe Torre is committed to playing Cabrera in centerfield every day (his range and throwing arm are much better than Damon's - hell, my arm is better than Damon's).
Cabrera filled in very nicely for the Hideki Matsui in 2006, but coming into this season, he wasn't assured of a consistent spot in the lineup because the entire outfield was healthy and Giambi was slated to DH full-time. Melky started off very slow this season, most likely because he was just trying not to lose his job.
But now that the door has opened again due to injury, Cabrera seems poised to re-gain his form from last season (he scored 75 runs, drove in 50 and stole 12 bases in 130 games). Melky is also a switch-hitter, which means he'll start against most lefties and righties ... plus he can bat 9th (in which case Damon would be behind him) ... or he could bat leadoff or second, which means Derek Jeter or Bobby Abreu will be backing him up.
I'm not saying you should drop a prime player for Melky, but if you're in a deep league of 10 or more teams with a lot of roster spots - or ESPECIALLY if you belong to an A.L. ONLY league, take a look at Cabrera. Heading into New York's weekend series with the Pirates, Melky has hit in 7 of 8 games - including 5 multi-hit efforts.
With the Yankee offense finally starting to come around, you could be looking at a hidden gem that will provide you with some power and speed for the rest of the season.
AA
I know what you're thinking: 'Wait, Melky Cabrera? Isn't he a fourth outfielder for the Yankees? Why the hell would I want a guy who doesn't play every day?'
With Jason Giambi's heel injury and/or pending suspension and Johnny Damon's lingering leg problems, Yankee manager Joe Torre is committed to playing Cabrera in centerfield every day (his range and throwing arm are much better than Damon's - hell, my arm is better than Damon's).
Cabrera filled in very nicely for the Hideki Matsui in 2006, but coming into this season, he wasn't assured of a consistent spot in the lineup because the entire outfield was healthy and Giambi was slated to DH full-time. Melky started off very slow this season, most likely because he was just trying not to lose his job.
But now that the door has opened again due to injury, Cabrera seems poised to re-gain his form from last season (he scored 75 runs, drove in 50 and stole 12 bases in 130 games). Melky is also a switch-hitter, which means he'll start against most lefties and righties ... plus he can bat 9th (in which case Damon would be behind him) ... or he could bat leadoff or second, which means Derek Jeter or Bobby Abreu will be backing him up.
I'm not saying you should drop a prime player for Melky, but if you're in a deep league of 10 or more teams with a lot of roster spots - or ESPECIALLY if you belong to an A.L. ONLY league, take a look at Cabrera. Heading into New York's weekend series with the Pirates, Melky has hit in 7 of 8 games - including 5 multi-hit efforts.
With the Yankee offense finally starting to come around, you could be looking at a hidden gem that will provide you with some power and speed for the rest of the season.
AA
Thursday, June 7, 2007
James Shields
By now you've probably heard of Devil Rays' RHP James Shields. If you have this guy, DON'T DEAL HIM (unless it's just too good to pass up)! If you want him on you're squad, go get him. I realize the Devil Rays and starting pitching don't normally go together, but wow, this guy can pitch. Admittedly, Tampa Bay's bullpen is among the worst in baseball (though Al Reyes has done a very good job in the closer's role).
BUT the great thing about James Shields is that he doesn't give his relievers much of a chance to waste his performances.
As of the time of this post, he's pitched into the 8th inning or beyond in 9 straight starts. It's very unlikely he's available in any leagues outside of 6 or 8-team superstar leagues, etc ... But if somehow he's slipped through the cracks, picking him up should be your next move.
Down the road, if you're in trade talks with a team that has Shields, see if you can get him added to the deal. People who know less than you may think his good start is a fluke and be willing to part with him because Tampa Bay stinks.
Shields showed flashes of this last season, though the overall numbers look a lot better in 2007. Just remember the name - JAMES SHIELDS - for future trade considerations and also if your planning on entering a new league for the second half of the season.
AA
Opening Statement
What's up, everybody? It's almost 4 AM, I'm watching the replay of Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Finals, and I'm writing up the first-ever post on my blog.
I just want to let everyone know that this page is for any and all fantasy baseball owners (and baseball fans in general). Whether you're serious or casual about "the game", whether you're young or old, or whether you consider me inept or a freakin' genius, I'm happy to accept your comments and questions for the rest of this MLB season and beyond.
FYI, I love the game of baseball in general ... so if you want to ask me any questions about the game itself, playoff predictions (I know it's very early), or prospects on the rise that will be helping your "real" teams (as well as your fantasy teams), I'm open to discussion about pretty much anything.
So whatever you do or wherever you are, if you love talkin' baseball and/or you're really into fantasy baseball, this is the blog for you! And remember, you're not the only one combing the box scores in the wee hours of the morning ... I say if it interests you, do what you want!
That's real talk ...
Good luck from here on out to all my fellow owners ... I look forward to our future discussions and dialouges.
AA
I just want to let everyone know that this page is for any and all fantasy baseball owners (and baseball fans in general). Whether you're serious or casual about "the game", whether you're young or old, or whether you consider me inept or a freakin' genius, I'm happy to accept your comments and questions for the rest of this MLB season and beyond.
FYI, I love the game of baseball in general ... so if you want to ask me any questions about the game itself, playoff predictions (I know it's very early), or prospects on the rise that will be helping your "real" teams (as well as your fantasy teams), I'm open to discussion about pretty much anything.
So whatever you do or wherever you are, if you love talkin' baseball and/or you're really into fantasy baseball, this is the blog for you! And remember, you're not the only one combing the box scores in the wee hours of the morning ... I say if it interests you, do what you want!
That's real talk ...
Good luck from here on out to all my fellow owners ... I look forward to our future discussions and dialouges.
AA
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