Thursday, July 19, 2007

D-Train Derailed

What is going on with Dontrelle Willis? This is a question I've been trying to answer for over two months. After a 5-1 start in April, Willis has dropped 8 of his 10 decisions since and just can't seem to get it together. Something I've noticed in the last two seasons is that teams who draft Dontrelle in fantasy, which I did twice this season, don't do particularly well.

I would have no problem with my real team acquiring the D-Train. Let's not forget that he won 22 games in 2005 and could have won the Cy Young Award. But since then, Willis has not regained that form and fantasy owners have felt his struggles. The ERA (5.13) and the WHIP (1.65) leave much to be desired this season, even though the Marlins are not particularly good.

Anyway, the point is this: If you can't unload him this season, just be aware of who his starts are against for the rest of 2007. Don't be afraid to bench him if you don't feel comfortable about the opponent. When he gets pounded in back-to-back starts against the Nationals and Cardinals, it's hard to find any more favorable match-ups for him. He's better than he's shown, but be very cautious when trying to place a fantasy value on him in the future.


PS I used his mugshot as a show of frustration. Is that wrong?

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